报告题目：Differentiated Agricultural Sensitivity and Adaptability to Rising Temperatures across Regions and Sectors in China

报 告 人：陈晓光 教授（西南财经大学）

北京时间：2022年10月28日（星期五）14:00

腾讯会议：343-302-687

https://meeting.tencent.com/dm/M5nfpFfE7vQq

报告人简介：陈晓光，西南财经大学教授、博士生导师、国家自然科学基金优秀青年科学基金获得者。2003年获北京大学学士学位；2006年获中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所硕士学位；2010年获美国伊利诺伊大学香槟分校博士学位。主要从事环境经济学、农业经济学和运筹学领域的理论和应用研究。共发表30余篇中英文学术论文。重要的代表作发表在Journal of Environmental Economics and Management（3篇）、American Journal of Agricultural Economics（5篇）、Transportation Science以及《经济研究》。入选爱思唯尔2020中国高被引学者（理论经济学）。

报告摘要：Prioritizing efforts that adapt agriculture to a warmer climate requires understanding how different regions and sectors of the agricultural system respond to warming. We assess the regional and sectoral responses in agriculture to rising temperatures using a rich and comprehensive panel of Chinese counties over more than two decades. We leverage temperature variations both from year to year and over multiple-year periods to separately identify short-run and intermediate-run responses. We find that temperature effects vary between northern and southern China, and between sectors (cropping, livestock, forestry, and fisheries). Warming’s impacts are concentrated in the cooler northern region, where contemporaneous high temperatures depress both the cropping and livestock sectors but benefit the forestry sector. When intermediate-run adaptations accounted for, the negative short-run impact of extreme temperatures on the cropping sector can be fully mitigated. But the mitigating effect is limited in the livestock sector. These findings inform the design and ranking of region and sector-specific policies and investments for agricultural adaptation to climate change.